 |
| 180 US ships, submarines, military and air force are on full alert. |
A few minutes earlier, a guard at the Daulat Sector Direction Center had seen a shadow on the fence of the building. The guards targeted the shadow and issued an alert, fearing it was part of a Soviet invasion, and then warning sirens sounded at every airbase in the area.
After that the situation deteriorated rapidly. At another nearby airport, Walkfield, someone switched off the wrong switch, causing pilots there to hear a serious siren instead of the usual security warning, which means get ready to fly quickly. ۔
The pilots quickly became ready to embark on aircraft equipped with nuclear weapons.
It was a time when the Cuban Missile Crisis was at its height and everyone was ready. Just 11 days ago, a US spy plane photographed secret launchers, missiles and trucks in Cuba, suggesting that the Soviet Union was preparing to hit various targets in the United States.
The world knew full well that just one missile fired by either country was enough to start a major and unexpected Clash.
At least no one was responsible for the tension. The monster that the guard saw near the security fence of the military base was not a human but a big black bear and it all happened as a result of a misunderstanding.
Squadrons at Walkfield were unaware of this fact. He had been told there would be no drills, so when he boarded his plane he was fully prepared that "World Battle III has begun."
At last the base commander found out what had really happened. The pilots were immediately stopped by an on-duty brain officer. The officers hurried to the runway in a truck where the pilots had started the engines of their planes.
Today's world has forgotten the anxiety about nuclear weapons that existed in the sixties. Safeguards from nuclear Battle are now limited to a few very rich people.
Concerns about survival are now about other threats, such as climate change.
It is easy to forget that there are still about 14,000 nuclear weapons in the world whose total power could kill three billion people in a matter of seconds. Nuclear Battle could also result in a "nuclear winter" - a very cold climate that will wipe out humans.
We know that the risk of a leader ordering the use of nuclear weapons is extremely low. Only a fool would do that. But what we didn't consider was that it could be a mistake.
It is said that since the invention of nuclear weapons, there have been 22 serious mistakes that could have led to the use of these weapons.
 |
| The first Russian nuclear test in 1949 |
A bunch of flying swans, the moon, minor computer problems and unusual weather events have pushed us to the brink of nuclear Clash many times.
In 1958, an atomic bomb accidentally dropped from a plane into a home garden. Miraculously no human was killed, only chickens were killed. The bomb, which weighed three and a half tons, was made safe for travel, so it did not emit radiation despite its fall, otherwise the entire area would be wiped off the face of the earth and uninhabitable for years.
The series of nuclear weapons mistakes is not old, dating back to 2010 when the US Air Force was temporarily cut off from 50 nuclear missiles. Which means it's about to be the most delusional time of the year, as well as the most delusional.
Despite the astonishing cost and technological sophistication of modern nuclear weapons, the United States could spend 49 497 billion on its nuclear capabilities between 2019 and 2028, but historical facts show that somehow a human error or a wild animal Can undermine the security arrangements made for
On January 25, 1995, then-Russian President Boris Yeltsin became the first world leader in history to activate a nuclear briefcase. This is a briefcase that contains instructions and technology on the use of atomic bombs.
At that moment, Russian radar operators noticed that a rocket had been fired from the Norwegian coast. They saw the rocket rise in the air. The question in their anxious minds was which way the rocket was heading and if it was not targeting Russia.
 |
| Russian nuclear power station |
Concerned neo-hippies and their global warming, i'll tell ya. He had a few minutes to decide, but in the meantime he realized that the rocket was aimed at the sea, so there was no danger to anyone.
It was later discovered that it was not a nuclear missile but a scientific experiment and the rocket was sent to investigate the Northern Lights. Norwegian officials were surprised by the Russian response, as every public announcement about the experiment was made at least a month ago.
Norwegian officials were surprised by the Russian response, as every public announcement about the experiment was made at least a month ago.
It does not matter if the nuclear attack was actually carried out or the result of a mistake, once it is carried out it is irreversible.
Former Secretary of Defense William Perry, in the administration of former US President Bill Clinton, has said that "the president's response to a misunderstanding could lead to a nuclear Battle by mistake.
It simply came to our notice then. Missiles fired cannot be recalled or destroyed.
So how did such horrible mistakes happen in the past and how can we prevent such an incident from happening in the future?
 |
| Like previous presidents, the current president, Joe Biden, has an adviser with him wherever he goes, who has a briefcase (nuclear football) that contains the code of nuclear attack. |
What Happens in Nuclear Attacks?
The main reason for the fear of possible mistakes is the warning system (warning system) that warns in advance of a nuclear attack.
These systems were established during the Cold battle.
Their goal was to have a quick response in the event of a nuclear attack, rather than waiting for missiles to hit their targets. Because launching a nuclear missile is the only way to retaliate.
The system quickly detects these missiles so that they can prepare for a counter-attack before destroying their weapons.
However, this requires data.
Most ordinary Americans are unaware that many of America's satellites are currently silently monitoring nuclear weapons around the world.
Four of these satellites are in geosynchronous orbit 22,000 miles above the earth. These satellites are in a place where they do not change their position with respect to the earth. This means that they are constantly monitoring a specific area. That is, they will immediately know about any nuclear attack at any time in 24 hours.
But the satellite cannot follow the missile fired. To do this, the United States has built hundreds of radar stations that can tell the position and speed of these missiles, as well as calculate how far and where they will land.
When clear information is received that an attack has taken place, the President is notified. "Five to ten minutes after the attack, the president is informed and then he has to make a very difficult decision about the counter-attack," Perry said.
"It's a complex system that's going on all the time," says William Perry. "We are talking about a situation where the chances are slim and the consequences are huge. It's time to dump her and move on. "
Technology errors
There are two mistakes that can misinterpret a nuclear attack. One has to do with technology while the other can be a human error.
A great example of a technology error is the 1980 incident when William Perry was working with President Jimmy Carter.
"It was a big blow," says Perry. It started with a telephone call at three in the morning. The call came from the U.S. Air Defense Command office, which said surveillance computers had detected about 200 missiles fired directly at the United States from the Soviet Union.
"By then, they had realized for themselves that it was not a real attack and that the computers had made a mistake."
"He called the president at the White House before he called me," Perry said. The call went to his national security adviser before the president.
Fortunately, he was a few minutes late before waking up the president. " "It simply came to our notice then that this was a mistake.
"But if they had not waited and immediately woken up President Carter, the situation in the world today might have been different," he said. If the president had received the call directly, he would have had about five minutes to decide whether to retaliate. It was late at night, there was no chance of anyone being consulted. "
 |
| A scene from the 1971 nuclear test in France |
Since then, he has never taken the "accidental use" of nuclear weapons as an assumption. Rather, it was a real and dangerously real matter. According to Perry, "I would say we were very close."
It turned out that the problem was with a bad computer chip that was running the warning system. The chip, which cost less than a dollar, was replaced.
Perry experienced another similar incident a year ago when a technician inadvertently loaded a training tape into a computer and mistakenly sent information about missile attacks on key warning centers that were imaginary but They looked very real.
This shows that dull-minded people are working in a process where there is a use of weapons that can destroy cities. And let alone the clumsy technicians, we have to worry about the people who actually have the authority to use nuclear weapons, the world leaders.
"The president has full authority to use nuclear weapons and he is the only one who can do that," Perry said.
This authority dates back to the time of President Harry Truman. This authority was given to military commanders during the Cold battle, but President Truman believed that nuclear weapons were a political tactic and should be in the hands of a politician.
Like previous presidents, the current president, Joe Biden, has an adviser with him wherever he goes, who has a briefcase (nuclear football) with the code of nuclear attack. Whether the president is on a mountain, traveling in a helicopter or at sea, he has the capability to carry out a nuclear attack.
 |
| The United States has cited aerial photographs of a missile site in Cuba as evidence |
It is too late for them to say these words and the attacker or the target being attacked will be destroyed in a few minutes. In this regard, several organizations and experts have pointed out that one person has so much power is a big threat.
According to Perry, "it has happened many times that a president is drinking too much or is forced to take some medicine. He may also be suffering from a mental illness. It's all happened in the past. "
The more you think about it, the more disturbing the possibilities become. If it's night time, will the president make that decision while asleep? They will only have a few minutes to make that decision, and in the meanwhile they will not be in a state of consciousness, nor will they have a chance to recover after drinking coffee, that is, they will not be in their best state of mind. Will be
In August 1974, US President Richard Nixon was embroiled in the Watergate scandal and was about to resign.
In those days he was suffering from depression and was emotionally unstable. He is said to have looked tired, drunk constantly and behaved strangely. An intelligence officer apparently once saw them eating dog biscuits.
Nixon was reportedly accustomed to being angry, drinking and taking drugs, but this was a much more serious matter. Despite this state of mind, they had the option to launch a nuclear attack.
The addiction of military personnel guarding nuclear weapons is also a problem. In 2016, several members of the air crew at a US missile base confessed to using a variety of drugs, including cocaine and LSD. (Four of them were later sentenced.)
How to prevent a nuclear tragedy?
With all of these elements in mind, William Perry has written a book called The Button: The Nuclear Arms Race and Presidential Power from Trump to Trump.
He co-authored the book with Tom Colina, director of policy at the Pleasures Fund, a nuclear disarmament organization.
This book identifies the weaknesses of our nuclear system and offers suggestions for possible solutions.
First of all, the authors want a person to have complete control over the use of nuclear weapons so that the use of these destructive weapons is decided democratically and the risk of mental illness affecting the decision is minimized. ۔
In the United States, that change could come through a vote in Congress.
Perry says it will take more time to decide how to use nuclear weapons. It is generally believed that the decision to use nuclear weapons must be made before the counter-attack capability is destroyed, but even if all the missiles on several cities and on the ground were destroyed, the nuclear missiles on the submarines would still be. It can be stained. '
The book's co-author, Tom Colina, says: "We should not respond to an alarm because the alarm could be wrong. There is only one true and reliable way to confirm a nuclear attack, and that is to wait for the missiles to fall. "
The more thoughtful and slower the decision to use nuclear weapons, the less likely it is that nuclear battle will start by mistake.
The other thing that Perry and Colina have emphasized is that the nuclear powers must promise that they will use these weapons only in response, that is, they will not use them first.
"China is an interesting example because it already has a policy of not taking the initiative in the use of these weapons," he said. China's policy also appears to be true because it has kept its nuclear weapons separate from its missiles, meaning that these weapons and the systems they carry are separate.
This means that China must install its weapons on its missiles before launching a nuclear attack. When China does, satellite monitors will know.
The United States and Russia, on the other hand, have no such policy. They reserve the right to carry out a nuclear attack, and they can use a nuclear weapon in response to a conventional weapon attack. President Obama's administration has considered a "no use of nuclear weapons" policy, but has not been able to decide.
In the end, the authors of the book argue that it would be beneficial for all countries to completely destroy their intercontinental ballistic missiles on Earth, as they would be the first to be destroyed in an impending nuclear attack.
These are the same weapons that are quickly deployed in the event of a suspected nuclear attack. This will further reduce the risk of error.
"Another way we can work on a system to deactivate nuclear missiles immediately after they are activated is to avoid catastrophe if something goes wrong," Colina said.
۔"It simply came to our notice then. Missiles are also destroyed automatically after launch. But we don't do that with real missiles because the fear is that if the enemy gets control of them, they will deactivate them. "
In addition, there are ways in which a country's own technology can be used against it. Over time, we have become increasingly dependent on modern computers, leading to growing fears that a nuclear clash could be started with the help of viruses, hackers, or artificial intelligence-powered bots.
"We believe that the rise in cyber-attacks has increased the chances of false alarms," says Colina. Which means the president may have a chance to retaliate.
The big problem, of course, is that countries want their nuclear weapons to be more efficient, modern and easy to use, at the push of a button and move. This makes it more difficult to control their use.
Although the Cold battle is over. But according to Colina, the world could still face a nuclear attack without provocation at any time. Ironically, the biggest threat is the missile systems themselves, which are designed to protect us.
0 Comments